Victor Davis Hanson discusses potential shifts in global oil markets, noting that the UAE and Oman might exit OPEC, which could significantly increase oil supply. He also touches upon the Biden administration's approach to Iran, suggesting that negotiations are unlikely to succeed due to Iran's 'pathological lying.' Hanson proposes that if Iran faces severe economic pressure, such as being unable to store oil, it could lead to internal collapse, allowing the US to withdraw without direct military intervention. He contrasts this potential strategy with past US military misadventures in the Middle East, emphasizing a desire to avoid ground troops and regime change. The argument concludes that a strategic waiting game, combined with economic pressure, might be a more effective approach to dealing with Iran, especially if it leads to their bankruptcy within a short timeframe. This approach allows for a political 'out clause' for the president.

Impact: Medium. This analysis highlights the complex interplay of global economics and foreign policy, suggesting that strategic patience and economic pressure could be more effective than direct military action in certain geopolitical situations. It points to potential shifts in energy markets and their implications.

In the source video, this keypoint occurs from 00:45:33 to 00:48:13.

Sources in support: Megyn Kelly (Host)