Despite the war going 'very well' for Trump in terms of executing the National Defense Strategy, Jiang maintains his prediction that the US will ultimately 'lose' the war with Iran. This loss is defined by the eventual deployment of US ground troops, Iran's survival, and subsequent chaos within the United States, forcing a humiliating retreat and US withdrawal from the Middle East.
Impact: High. This prediction suggests that even if the initial phases of the conflict serve US strategic goals, the long-term human and political cost of a ground war will lead to a decisive American defeat and a significant geopolitical shift.
In the source video, this keypoint occurs from 00:27:51 to 00:28:33.
Sources in support: Professor Jiang (Geopolitical Analyst)

